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I remember reading this prediction in 1989 and being incredulous that
someone in Mr. Duell's position could be so short-sighted. Why is it that
today this prediction doesn't seem quite as ridiculous? Does my attitude
simply reflect general economic malaise, or is technological development
actually at a standstill?
Where are the "killer apps" that promised to make us richer, happier
and more productive? Two years ago, virtually every company was working
with NASA-level secrecy on a piece of hardware or software that would change
the world. Today we're more concerned with staying in the black, keeping
auditors under control and preventing terrorists from using our nifty inventions
against us.
Still I do miss the rush of excitement that accompanies news of the
next must-have gadget or application. Sadly, in the past few months, the
closest that I have come to that kind of rush is when I saw the movie Minority
Report. And even their killer app of fifty years hence ends up flawed
by fatal security gaps.
Certainly, not a lot is new, but some recent technological developments
are worth mentioning. First, we can turn the tables on terrorists with
a technology called data mining.
Credit card companies already use networked computer systems to follow
cardholders as they rent cars, place long-distance calls, and use automated
teller machines. These systems scan massive amounts of transaction data
with data-mining software that flags suspicious users and dispatches real-time
alerts to clerks or security guards when a suspected crook surfaces.
The al Qaeda cell that attacked on Sept. 11 threw off a string of red
flags that likely would have been detected by a system that combined FBI
watch-lists with transaction data-mining. Such a system would allow law-enforcement
officials in a variety of locales to share leads and working hypotheses,
an invaluable tool in fighting terror.
For the home user, even less is new, and most of it is from Microsoft.
Their Tablet PC is only mildly interesting, since it appears to be a rehash
of some older ideas with only a slightly newer approach: you can either
write on the screen with a stylus or stand it up on a keyboard to transform
it into notebook PC (Didn't Apple call this a Newton?). It features handwriting
recognition that is less than perfect, so don't expect the machine to translate
your scribbles into word-processor ready text. According to Alex Loeb,
Microsoft VP in charge of Tablet PC development, many people prefer to
keep their notes handwritten rather than converting them to computer text.
Microsoft issued the prototype for the Tablet PC two years ago, with the
"revolutionary" idea that now business people could take hand-written notes
in a meeting. And to think that I begged, pleaded, cajoled a former employer
for a laptop to keep notes in meetings since writing my notes longhand
was too slow and made me miss too much of the meeting content.
If you want to take handwritten notes in a business meeting and store
it on an electronic device why pay $2000 bucks for this feature? The Palm
M105 offers an onscreen handwriting feature and it costs only $149. If
you want to spend a couple hundred more, you can get the Palm M130 and
have a crisp color version. Either one saves your scribbles just
as they are (great for those who like to sketch).
Microsoft also recently introduced of the TV Photo Viewer. (You'd think
that Microsoft could afford to hire someone to come up with jazzier names
for its products.) This device allows you to view your digital pictures
and slides on your TV set. About the size of a thick paperback book, the
viewer accepts standard 1.44 megabyte floppy disks that hold 20 to 40 pictures
per disk (it recommends closer to 20, because they don't have to be quite
as compressed and thus produce higher quality graphics). The viewer comes
with a remote that lets you flip through the electronic photo album or
slide show yourself, or you can set it to automatically show.
Because it uses standard floppy disks, you have to put your pictures
on the disk using your PC (assuming that you have a floppy drive on your
computer — not all of us do nowadays). Aside from the fact that I would
love to force my guests to view photos of my grandchildren on our TV screen,
this product caught my interest because I have boxes and boxes of floppy
disks that I have no use for, and I hate to throw anything away. It would
be much easier, however, if the TV Photo Viewer accepted CDs so its owner
doesn't have to get up and change disks as often. CDs, because they do
not incorporate magnetic media, also have a longer shelf life (For an excellent
discussion of the pros and cons of using various media for long-term storage
of important records, see Sue Ives' article My
floppy died and I don't feel so good myself in the September, 2001
issue of PC Alamode).
Outside of Microsoft, is anyone creating anything new? Yes, a few are,
and we may wish that they weren't. Some Internet sites have come up with
their own "killer app." It takes over your browser by changing your start
page, (the Web page that appears first whenever you launch Internet Explorer.)
Certain sites install malicious code on your PC, some of which overrides
your own start page selection. In some cases, this can be embarrassing,
since this type of technology is often employed by pornographic websites.
If this happens, all is not lost. You can download a free
program that is effective in blocking such sabotage. StartPage Guard kills
malicious code and allows you to restore your favorite start page. It can
also automatically check to make sure your choice isn't overridden again.
You can download StartPage
Guard (search for "start page"). It might be prudent to install StartPage
Guard before you taste any forbidden Internet fruit.
If you prefer another type of forbidden fruit (and I do admit to a weakness
for Margaritas), one new dot-com may not be the answer to Amazon, but its
product is certainly interesting. Check out BoatBlender.
It offers a bottle that fits on the end of your cordless drill allowing
you to make the perfect "drilled Margaritas while you entertain on your
boat. I wonder if anyone has invented something that will allow me to make
a pina colada while water skiing.
Another frivolous invention has actually been quite useful. You can
log onto the Palm website and
download a freeware utility for your color PDA called AK Mirror. This program
is a first offering from Akeysoft
and it does only two things: it turns your screen all black or all white.
In all black mode, you can use your PDA as a mirror with good enough clarity
to check your teeth for a stray piece of spinach, although it may not be
much use when inserting your contact lenses. In all white mode, it becomes
a flashlight. A single pull-down menu item allows you to invert the screen
from one to the other. I have keyed one of my Palm's buttons to this program
and keep the program itself on flashlight mode so that I can access the
flashlight with one touch even in total darkness. The flashlight feature
won't put EverReady out of business, but it will help find your house keys
in a pinch.
While I'm enthralled with most new developments for handheld computers,
I still reserve judgment for the Blackberry-style keyboards that appear
to be replacing the full-travel keyboards that you could get for the last
generation of PDAs. The blackberry type keyboards (those that are only
about three inches across by two inches high and sport tiny keys that you
operate with your thumbs) are much less expensive than the full-travel
ones ($24 for one that attaches to the Palm M130 compared to $129 for the
full travel model). However, aside from entering an occasional address
or short memo, I don't know how much use they would be for a writer and
touch typist like me.
If you are working for a company that is looking for ways to squeeze
production out of every salary nickel, you had better hope that your CFO
isn't aware that hardware maker Ingersoll-Rand and software maker Kronos
have come up with a time clock that recognizes employees by scanning their
hands. If you work for the government, it's already too late. You'll have
to quit asking your office mate to clock you in when you're caught in traffic
or slept too late. (I'm sure that retinal scans will soon follow, and with
it, new types of criminal activity. The movie Minority Report features
an ophthalmologist-cum-backstreet butcher who will swap out your eyeballs
for a hefty fee.
And finally another good idea for the home user. Some printers now work
even when not attached to a computer. If you want to print pictures from
your digital camera, Hewlett-Packard and Epson make photo-oriented printers
that can accept a memory card from a digital camera and make prints from
the stored data. In the absence of a PC, you control these printers through
a small built-in screen and printer buttons. A few high-end models even
have a little color screen that shows you the picture before you print
it.
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